Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 4.141773e-01 0.544604 0.694205 0.876133 1.089034 1.328027 1.614281
2025-11-23 2.409432e-01 0.397824 0.604569 0.886019 1.248302 1.688588 2.253422
2025-11-30 1.561601e-01 0.324054 0.576038 0.953485 1.476876 2.150994 3.057971
2025-12-07 9.729589e-02 0.259704 0.538147 0.994097 1.668649 2.580152 3.853704
2025-12-14 5.681828e-02 0.203077 0.492052 1.008062 1.817947 2.959079 4.605056
2025-12-21 2.952206e-02 0.152122 0.436494 0.991547 1.913926 3.264975 5.270411
2025-12-28 1.580875e-02 0.121156 0.406265 1.007857 2.055991 3.639521 6.043074
2026-01-04 7.390854e-03 0.094205 0.372977 1.009524 2.170211 3.975166 6.771168
2026-01-11 2.437493e-03 0.067877 0.327991 0.977451 2.220983 4.213712 7.365278
2026-01-18 5.502917e-04 0.049018 0.291844 0.953722 2.279951 4.463513 7.980763
2026-01-25 7.405578e-05 0.037645 0.271434 0.958623 2.387835 4.792344 8.721603
2026-02-01 1.592481e-10 0.025709 0.239103 0.927701 2.424159 5.005080 9.291779
2026-02-08 NaN 0.021591 0.236794 0.971582 2.609676 5.474998 10.277660
2026-02-15 NaN 0.015715 0.220075 0.974686 2.715399 5.817155 11.078083
2026-02-22 NaN 0.014248 0.226826 1.042740 2.955897 6.394848 12.260090
2026-03-01 NaN 0.011728 0.224242 1.083859 3.143696 6.888978 13.322919
2026-03-08 NaN 0.008665 0.213123 1.097612 3.274991 7.289959 14.247889
2026-03-15 NaN 0.005469 0.193215 1.079538 3.336501 7.570802 14.987638
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003896 0.185016 1.096566 3.474061 7.988527 15.954575
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002486 0.173160 1.098191 3.576734 8.346269 16.830798
2026-04-05 NaN 0.001172 0.152878 1.064091 3.595307 8.552396 17.463982
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000490 0.136534 1.038869 3.630933 8.789014 18.150478
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000227 0.128540 1.044054 3.737834 9.158997 19.063380